TROPICAL CYCLONE PAT (14P)

STRONG STAGE (LEVEL 5/15)

CURRENT INTENSITY: MAX: 45kt GUST: 55kt (83-102kph)
CURRENT PRESSURE: 993MB
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 38KT (70KPH) MSLP: 1002.9MB
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT): 47KT (87KPH) MSLP: 989.6MB
CENTRAL REGION TEMP: -38.7C (CENTER)
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP: -46.2C (+35MM/HR)
FORECAST 12HRS: 50KT/93KPH/LEVEL 5-6

Tropical Depression Fami Fading Fast

Fami on Feb. 3 at 09:35 UTC (4:35 a.m. ET), and showed the system more resembling a cold front than a tropical cyclone, as it appears stretched out from northwest to southeast. There are also very few strong thunderstorms left in what was once the center.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued their last advisory on the system at 1 p.m. ET on February 2 after it crossed Madagascar, and entered the Southern Indian Ocean. At that time it was located approximately 150 nautical miles southwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar, near 21.0 South and 45.5 East. It had maximum sustained wind near 34 mph, but was rapidly fading. Fami tracked eastward at 11 mph (10 knots) into open waters.

Tropical Storm Fami (Southern Indian Ocean)

February 1 at 2231 UTC (5:31 p.m ET) as it was approaching landfall in Madagascar. Heavy rain was falling from high thunderstorm cloud tops that were as cold as minus 63F.

image reveals that once Fami made landfall, the storm was developing an eye (blue) in the upper levels of the storm.

Tropical Storm Oli (Southern Pacific Ocean)

GOES-11 captured an infrared look at Oli’s clouds on Feb.1 at 1652 UTC (11: 52 a.m. ET). The storm appears to be well-defined.

The twelfth tropical cyclone in the Southern Pacific Ocean has formed today, February 1, 2010, and because of its proximity to the Fiji islands, it has been dubbed “Oli.” The GOES-11 satellite passed over Oli early this morning and captured an infrared image of the storm’s clouds.

GOES-11, or the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite, is operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and provides visible and infrared satellite imagery. Some of the imagery is created through the NASA GOES Project at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. GOES-11 flew over Oli at 11:52 a.m. ET today, February 1, and noticed a well-organized tropical storm.

Oli’s name may also be referred to as Tropical Cyclone 12P in the news. The Fiji islands have their own list of tropical cyclone names, which may be confusing, because the Joint Typhoon Warning Center will typically use the number of the storm. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is currently referring to Oli as “12P” for the twelfth tropical cyclone in the Southern Pacific Ocean.

At 10 a.m. ET, February 1, Tropical Storm Oli (12P) had maximum sustained winds near 57 mph (50 knots) up from 40 mph from 12 hours ago. Oli is moving east at 23 mph (20 knots). It was located about 540 nautical miles north-northwest of Rarotonga, near 13.5 degrees South and 162.9 degrees West.

Tropical Cyclone Olga (Southern Pacific Ocean)

NASA’s Aqua satellite passed over Olga at 11:29 p.m. EST Jan. 28 and the AMSR-E instrument measured the winds on Olga’s eastern side to be around 34 mph or 30 knots (in red), just before she strengthened back to tropical storm status.

Tropical Depression 11S (Southern Indian Ocean)

Tropical Depression 11S Forms in the Southern Indian Ocean

At 11:20 p.m. ET January 27, TRMM captured Tropical Depression 11S’s rainfall, as it was centered east of La Reunion Island. Although most of the rainfall was light to moderate (yellow and green) there were some areas of heavy rain of over 2 inches per hour (red).

At 4 a.m. ET (09:00 UTC) on January 28, Tropical Depression 11S (TD 11S) had maximum sustained winds near 39 mph (35 knots). It was located about 180 nautical miles east of La Reunion, near 21.7 degree South latitude and 58.9 degrees East longitude. TD 11S is moving southward near 6 mph (5 knots).

La Reunion Island is a French island located in the Southern Indian Ocean, east of Madagascar and about 120 miles southwest of the island of Mauritius.

At 11:20 p.m. ET January 27, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, or TRMM satellite captured Tropical Depression 11S’s rainfall, as it was centered east of La Reunion Island. Although most of the rainfall was light to moderate there were some areas of heavy rain of over 2 inches per hour.

Australia Posts Warnings Again for Olga

NASA's Aqua satellite captured an image of Tropical Cyclone Olga over northeast Australia on January 24 at 4:10 UTC.

Australia Posts Warnings Again for Olga

Olga was downgraded to a low pressure area yesterday as her center tracked west from Queensland into the Northern Territory of Australia. Now she's nearing the coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria and is expected to strengthen while feeding off the Gulf's warm waters. As a result, cyclone warnings and watches have been posted for parts of Queensland and the Northern Territory.

On Tuesday, January 25, a Cyclone Warning is in effect for coastal and island communities from Groote Eylandt, including Alyangula in the Northern Territory, to Burketown in Queensland. In addition, a Cyclone Watch is in effect for coastal and island communities from Cape Shield to Alyangula.

At 9:30 p.m. local Australia Time (7 a.m. Eastern Time) today, January 26, Olga the Low pressure area is located near 16.8 degrees South and 137.7 degrees East. That's near the border of Queensland and the Northern Territory and about 170 kilometers east southeast of Borroloola and about 100 miles (160 kilometers) west of Mornington Island. Olga moving west northwest at 14 mph (23 kilometers per hour).

Tropical Cyclone Olga

Olga, on January 25 at 1330 UTC (8:30 a.m. ET). heading west toward the Northern Territory.

Olga was a tropical cyclone that formed in the southwestern Pacific Ocean on Saturday, January 23, and crept toward Cairns, Australia. Olga made landfall in Queensland and weakened to a low pressure area.

Ogla made landfall on January 24 at Port Douglas as a category 1 storm. Its center came ashore at around 2 p.m. Australia local time near Cape Tribulation bringing gusty winds and rains.

Today, January 25, a Cyclone Watch continues for the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast and islands from Port McArthur to Burketown. The low pressure area formerly known as Olga is located in the northwestern part of Queensland, Australia. At 10:00 p.m. Australia Darwin Local time (7:30 a.m. ET) Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga was estimated to be 251 miles (405 kilometers) west of Georgetown and 93 miles (150 kilometers)southwest of Karumba, near 18.3 degrees South 139.7 degrees East.

Olga the low is moving west at 27 mph (44 kilometers/ph) across the base of Cape York Peninsula towards the Northern Territory/Queensland Border.